Weekly Market Insights | This Week: T For Tariffs, T For Trillion

Weekly Market Insights | This Week: T For Tariffs, T For Trillion

| July 14, 2025

Stocks were slightly lower last week, while looking past news of fresh U.S. tariffs on nearly two dozen countries.

The Standard & Poor’s 500 Index fell 0.31 percent, while the Nasdaq Composite Index edged lower by 0.08 percent. The Dow Jones Industrial Average lost 1.02 percent. The MSCI EAFE Index, which tracks developed overseas stock markets, slipped 0.43 percent.1,2

The Return of the Tariffs

Stocks started the week lower after the White House posted letters to 14 countries announcing new tariffs, set to take effect August 1. They included 25 percent tariffs on South Korea and Japan.3,4
 
Stocks dropped briefly midweek after the White House announced tariffs on seven additional countries. But as investors digested the news, markets gradually recovered, hoping the administration would dial back its steepest tariff rates again.

Markets also rallied on fresh AI trade enthusiasm and the latest Fed meeting minutes, which showed a majority of Committee members were open to adjusting interest rates later this year.5,6
 
Markets opened higher on Thursday as investors shrugged off news of the 50 percent tariff on Brazil imports, announced shortly after Wednesday’s close. Momentum continued, and the S&P 500 and Nasdaq rose to fresh records.7
 
Then, after Thursday’s close, the White House announced the U.S. was raising tariffs on Canadian imports to 35 percent and was preparing some other tariffs. Markets opened lower on Friday and trended sideways during the trading session.8

The T Word

While tariffs drove market headlines last week, another “t word” made news: trillion.

More specifically, $4 trillion in market capitalization. The nation’s largest AI chip maker was the first company to breach that market cap level. It crossed the $4 trillion mark intraday on Wednesday, then closed above it for the first time on Thursday’s close.9,10

So why does it matter when one stock hits such a milestone? For a market-cap weighted index like the S&P 500, a company valued at $4 trillion has an outsized effect on the overall index’s performance. The largest five companies in the S&P 500 comprise about one-third of the benchmark index.9,10

This Week: Key Economic Data

Tuesday: Consumer Price Index (CPI). Industrial Production. Capacity Utilization. Boston Fed President Susan Collins and Dallas Fed President Lorie Logan speak.

Wednesday: Producer Price Index (PPI). Fed Beige Book.

Thursday: Jobless Claims (weekly). Retail Sales. Import Price Index. Business Inventories. Home Builder Confidence Index.

Friday: Housing Starts. Building Permits. Consumer Sentiment.

Source: Investors Business Daily - Econoday economic calendar; July 11, 2025
The Econoday economic calendar lists upcoming U.S. economic data releases (including key economic indicators), Federal Reserve policy meetings, and speaking engagements of Federal Reserve officials. The content is developed from sources believed to be providing accurate information. The forecasts or forward-looking statements are based on assumptions and may not materialize. The forecasts also are subject to revision.

This Week: Companies Reporting Earnings

Tuesday: JPMorgan Chase & Co. (JPM), Wells Fargo & Company (WFC), BlackRock (BLK), Citigroup Inc. (C)

Wednesday: Johnson & Johnson (JNJ), Bank of America Corporation (BAC), Morgan Stanley (MS), The Goldman Sachs Group, Inc. (GS), The Progressive Corporation (PGR), Prologis, Inc. (PLD)

Thursday: Netflix, Inc. (NFLX), GE Aerospace (GE), Abbott Laboratories (ABT), PepsiCo, Inc. (PEP), Marsh & McLennan Companies, Inc. (MMC), Interactive Brokers Group, Inc. (IBKR)

Friday: American Express Company (AXP), The Charles Schwab Corporation (SCHW)

Source: Zacks, July 11, 2025. Companies mentioned are for informational purposes only. It should not be considered a solicitation for the purchase or sale of the securities. Investing involves risks, and investment decisions should be based on your own goals, time horizon, and tolerance for risk. The return and principal value of investments will fluctuate as market conditions change. When sold, investments may be worth more or less than their original cost. Companies may reschedule when they report earnings without notice.

“The trust of the innocent is the liar’s most useful tool.”

– Stephen King

With Shared Custody, Taxes Can Get Complicated

If you have a legal agreement with your child’s other parent regarding custody, you may have questions about claiming the child on your tax return and what credits (if any) you are eligible for. 

It might help if you research the Child Tax Credit as well. The parent who claimed the Child Tax Credit for a qualifying child the previous year may have received the advance child tax credit payments the following year.

This information is not a substitute for individualized tax advice. Please discuss your specific tax issues with a qualified tax professional. 

Tip adapted from IRS11

Sneak in More Veggies with Mashed Cauliflower

Mashed potatoes are a classic side at any meal, but they can be calorie-dense and don’t provide as much nutritional benefit as other veggies. If you want a tasty and easy way to incorporate more veggies into your meals this year, try this simple mashed cauliflower recipe:

Ingredients

  • 1 head of cauliflower
  • 1 tbsp olive oil
  • 2 garlic cloves (minced)
  • 1-2 tsp of finely chopped herbs such as thyme, rosemary, sage, chives, etc.

Instructions

  1. Trim the leaves off the cauliflower and cut the florets into smaller pieces. Rinse well.
  2. Steam the cauliflower florets in a pot with a steamer insert for 6-8 minutes.
  3. While the cauliflower is steaming, heat the olive oil in a small pan over medium heat. Add the minced garlic and cook until fragrant (about 30 seconds).
  4. Dump out the water from the pot and add the cauliflower, olive oil, garlic, and chopped herbs.
  5. Use a potato masher to mash the cauliflower and combine everything.

Tip adapted from Downshiftology12

Seven people stand in a square room measuring 30' x 30'. Each can see the entire room and everyone in it without making any physical movement (aside from eye movement). Where inside this room can you place an apple so that all but one person can see it?

Last Week's Riddle: Alexandra’s mom had four children. The first one was named May, the second was named June, and the third was named August. What was the fourth child's name?
Answer: Alexandra.

Fennec fox
Yong in, Gyeonggi do, South Korea

Footnotes and Sources

1. WSJ.com, July 11, 2025

2. Investing.com, July 11, 2025

3. CNBC.com, July 7, 2025

4. CNBC.com, July 8, 2025

5. WSJ.com, July 9, 2025

6. MarketWatch.com, July 9, 2025

7. CNBC.com, July 10, 2025

8.  CNBC.com, July 11, 2025

9. WSJ.com, July 9, 2025

10. MarketWatch.com, July 10, 2025

11. IRS.gov, March 6, 2025 

12. Downshiftology.com, March 18, 2025

Investing involves risks, and investment decisions should be based on your own goals, time horizon, and tolerance for risk. The return and principal value of investments will fluctuate as market conditions change. When sold, investments may be worth more or less than their original cost.

The forecasts or forward-looking statements are based on assumptions, may not materialize, and are subject to revision without notice.

The market indexes discussed are unmanaged, and generally, considered representative of their respective markets. Index performance is not indicative of the past performance of a particular investment. Indexes do not incur management fees, costs, and expenses. Individuals cannot directly invest in unmanaged indexes. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average is an unmanaged index that is generally considered representative of large-capitalization companies on the U.S. stock market. The Nasdaq Composite is an index of the common stocks and similar securities listed on the Nasdaq stock market and considered a broad indicator of the performance of stocks of technology and growth companies. The MSCI EAFE Index was created by Morgan Stanley Capital International (MSCI) and serves as a benchmark of the performance of major international equity markets, as represented by 21 major MSCI indexes from Europe, Australia, and Southeast Asia. The S&P 500 Composite Index is an unmanaged group of securities that are considered to be representative of the stock market in general.

U.S. Treasury Notes are guaranteed by the federal government as to the timely payment of principal and interest. However, if you sell a Treasury Note prior to maturity, it may be worth more or less than the original price paid. Fixed income investments are subject to various risks including changes in interest rates, credit quality, inflation risk, market valuations, prepayments, corporate events, tax ramifications and other factors.

International investments carry additional risks, which include differences in financial reporting standards, currency exchange rates, political risks unique to a specific country, foreign taxes and regulations, and the potential for illiquid markets. These factors may result in greater share price volatility.

Please consult your financial professional for additional information.

This content is developed from sources believed to be providing accurate information. The information in this material is not intended as tax or legal advice. Please consult legal or tax professionals for specific information regarding your individual situation. This material was developed and produced by FMG Suite to provide information on a topic that may be of interest. FMG is not affiliated with the named representative, financial professional, Registered Investment Advisor, Broker-Dealer, nor state- or SEC-registered investment advisory firm. The opinions expressed and material provided are for general information, and they should not be considered a solicitation for the purchase or sale of any security.

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